The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) indicates that the Kremlin may be preparing for false flag operations in the Baltic Sea, including potential attacks on Russian opposition politicians abroad. The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has claimed that Ukraine, with Western support, plans to detonate a foreign vessel to create tensions with NATO. Additionally, the SVR suggests strategies to assassinate opposition figures overseas, potentially to manipulate blame and thwart peace negotiations.
"The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) claimed on February 11 that Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Agency (GUR), with assistance from unspecified Western countries, intend to blow up a foreign vessel in the Baltic Sea to prompt NATO to block Russia's access to the Baltic Sea and start a direct armed conflict between Russia and NATO."
"The ISW highlighted potential false flag attacks in the Baltic Sea, indicating Russia may resort to discrediting Ukraine and attacking Russian opposition politicians living abroad."
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