From Kabul to Kyiv: Lessons the U.S. Must Heed for Peace
Briefly

The article critiques the Biden administration's focus on military aid to Ukraine in response to Russian aggression, suggesting it mirrors past foreign interventions like in Afghanistan. The author argues that this strategy, while initially beneficial, risks creating dependency on U.S. support and prolonging the conflict. They highlight the missed opportunity for an early diplomatic resolution, which could have altered the trajectory of the war. The dependency on military and financial aid for Ukraine raises concerns about long-term sustainability, particularly in light of shifting U.S. political dynamics.
The absence of a serious diplomatic initiative in parallel limited strategic options and ceded the initiative to the battlefield.
Ukraine may experience the same trajectory: generous support early on, followed by political fatigue and eventual 'abandonment', developing dependency on foreign aid.
By focusing primarily on military support, the Biden administration may have contributed to the war's prolongation and institutionalized Ukraine's dependency on Western assistance.
Support for Ukraine has appeared unstable, threatened by U.S. internal politics, making Ukraine more vulnerable as reliance on external aid grows.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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