The Biden administration's decision to allow Ukraine to strike Russian territory with US-provided missiles is unlikely to change the course of the war dramatically.
The move has been subject of fierce speculation for months, giving Russia plenty of time to adapt. The decision, however, is not inconsequential.
Ukraine's expanded firepower gives the nation a chance to hold on to the sliver of Russian territory it has been controlling since its successful incursion into the Kursk region.
If the Russians are successful in their war effort - and their steady advances suggest that they are - they will make maximalist demands on the Trump administration.
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