American military and intelligence officials have observed that the war in Ukraine is shifting from a stalemate to a situation where Russia is making steady gains.
Ukraine is facing significant losses, with about 57,000 soldiers killed in action, which poses a troubling indicator for the country's ability to sustain its military efforts.
Despite facing recruitment challenges, the Ukrainian military could still capitalize on potential Russian weaknesses if U.S. support remains strong through the summer.
The earlier assessment that Russia would struggle to make gains proved incorrect, alarming officials about the current trajectory of the conflict.
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