Three Bets
Briefly

Three Bets
"The first won't change much, the second will change everything, and the third will prove that everything has changed. Bet number one: President Donald Trump's war of choice on Iran will create so vast a debacle that he will be forced from office before his term ends."
"The entire Persian Gulf is an Iranian shooting gallery, because the whole eastern shore is Iranian territory. They can shoot missiles and lay mines from anywhere on that shoreline, which stretches about 300 miles."
"When your enemy needs a short war, you give him a long one. That is exactly what the Iranian regime plans to do, and we already see signs that Trump is coming unglued."
Gambling has evolved from being viewed as a tax on stupidity to a normalized activity available everywhere. The article presents three bets, focusing on the potential consequences of President Trump's actions regarding Iran. The first bet suggests that Trump's military decisions will lead to his removal from office. The analysis indicates that while the U.S. and Israel may be winning physically, Iran maintains an advantage in the Persian Gulf. The mental aspect of the conflict suggests that Trump's need for a quick resolution may backfire, leading to prolonged conflict.
Read at The American Conservative
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