"Even after decades of mass immigration from the Global South, the red team has remained overwhelmingly white. Trump's voters in 2024 were 84 percent white, according to the comprehensive AP VoteCast survey of 120,000 voters. That's not much more diverse than Mitt Romney's 88 percent in 2012. Romney, you may remember, was hammered in the media for not winning minorities."
"The 2010 census found that 63.7 percent of Americans were non-Hispanic white. By the time of the next census in 2020, that number had sunk to 57.8 percent. Joe Biden's open-border policies have surely accelerated the trend. Trump's not-so-rainbow coalition looks whiter still when compared to Kamala Harris's voters, who were 66 percent white, 18 percent black, 11 percent Hispanic, and 5 percent other."
A purported GOP multiracial coalition never materialized at scale. The Republican electorate in 2024 remained heavily white, with Trump's voters 84 percent white, only slightly less white than Romney's 2012 supporters. National demographics shifted rapidly: non-Hispanic whites fell from 63.7 percent in 2010 to 57.8 percent in 2020. Presidential Democratic voters were substantially more diverse, exemplified by Kamala Harris's coalition (66% white, 18% black, 11% Hispanic, 5% other). The GOP's demographic profile will make national victories difficult as the country approaches majority non-white status. Gains among non-white Republican voters have been modest and overstated.
Read at The American Conservative
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