The article explores various predictions on the future of work, emphasizing differing focal points from key reports by Microsoft and the World Economic Forum. Microsoft's report, focusing on the role of generative AI in reshaping work, highlights potential productivity gains, although long-term changes may be modest without substantial restructuring. Contrastingly, the World Economic Forum's report discusses broader factors like economic conditions and demographic shifts, finding that 39% of skills may become outdated by 2030, signaling a need for upskilling. These insights point towards a transformative phase in the workplace over the coming years.
Interestingly, this number has declined over the past years. Employers seemed to suggest that the change in skills precipitated by the pandemic is well in motion, and we are reaching a new equilibrium.
There are broad signs of productivity gains from gen AI (some role-specific), but long-term impacts may be modest until we can restructure work.
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