
Mortgage rates have historically driven housing market direction, with rising rates slowing demand and easing rates bringing buyers back. Recent data shows mortgage rates briefly near 6.75%, a level that previously caused meaningful slowdowns. Pending home sales remain above last year’s pace, inventory growth is near flat year over year, and price-cut activity is slightly below 2025 levels. Even after rates rose up to 0.76% from yearly lows, demand in 2026 has largely held up. Market behavior appears to be changing: sellers adjust pricing expectations faster, inventory remains restrained, and transactions stay healthier than expected under higher borrowing costs. Price-cut activity is improving slightly, indicating quicker recalibration to affordability pressure.
"Today's market appears to be adjusting more quickly. National inventory growth remains restrained at just 0.9% year over year, while pending sales are still running nearly 10% above last year's levels. At the same time, pricing behavior is shifting. National price-cut activity came in at 36.77% last week, slightly improved from roughly 37% during the same period last year."
#mortgage-rates #housing-market-demand #home-inventory #pending-home-sales #pricing-and-affordability
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