"Keep in mind that roundup mentioned above looks at forecasts for nationally aggregated home prices. On a regional and neighborhood basis, home price swings can vary greatly from the national figure. For example, on a year-over-year basis, U.S. home prices as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index are up +0.1%, while home prices in the Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, Connecticut metro area are up +4.6% and home prices in the Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, Texas metro area are down -6.0% during that same timeframe."
"To better understand how regional home prices may vary in 2026, ResiClub reached out to economists at Zillow-whose forecast of U.S. home prices rising by +2.1% in calendar 2026 is slightly above the average model-and economists at Moody's Analytics-whose forecast of U.S. home prices rising by +0.8% in 2026 is slightly more bearish than the average model-to gather their metro-level home price forecasts."
Twenty-four national price forecasts produce an average prediction of a +1.43% increase in U.S. home prices for 2026. Zillow projects U.S. home prices rising +2.1% in calendar 2026, slightly above the model average, while Moody's Analytics forecasts a +0.8% increase, slightly more bearish than the average. National measures can mask wide local variation: the Zillow Home Value Index is up +0.1% year-over-year nationally, Hartford metro prices are up +4.6%, and Austin metro prices are down -6.0% over the same period. Metro-level forecasts were obtained from Zillow and Moody's to illustrate regional differences.
Read at Fast Company
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