California homebuying runs 7% below 2008 crash levels
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California homebuying runs 7% below 2008 crash levels
"In the first half of 2008, as the global financial system was crashing, 169,946 homes were sold across California. In 2025's first six months, only 158,086 residences were bought - 7% below real estate's ugliest era. This is a stark reminder, courtesy of my trusty spreadsheet, of the depths of the recent homebuying collapse. Using sales data from Attom it studied a broad swath of closed transactions, including houses and condos, both existing residences and newly constructed."
"California house hunters remain hesitant because prices remain stubbornly high. June's $755,000 median selling price was an all-time high after gaining 6% in three turbulent years. That price gain is a decided cooling from the 39% jump between 2019 and 2022. But it's worth noting that prices slipped 26% in the three years before 2008's debacle. Don't overlook the role of those mid-crash discounts in spurring that era's homebuying rebound."
First-half 2025 sales in California totaled 158,086 residences, 7% below the 169,946 homes sold in the first half of 2008. Rankings of first-half sales since 2005 place 2024 as the lowest start, 2023 second-lowest, 2025 third-lowest, 2020 fourth, and 2008 fifth. June's median selling price reached $755,000, up 6% over three years and far above levels that improve affordability. Prices fell 26% in the three years before 2008, leading to a 33% sales rebound the following 12 months. The statewide affordability index shows only 15% of households can qualify for a single-family home, down from 23% in mid-2021 as financing costs rose toward 7%.
Read at The Mercury News
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