Astronomers have increased the estimated odds of a direct hit from asteroid 2024 YR, which has a 2.3% chance of impacting Earth in 2032. Recently rated as a top impact risk with a Torino Impact Hazard Scale rating of three, the asteroid, discovered by Nasa-funded skywatchers, poses no immediate threat according to experts. They emphasize that the risk assessment can change significantly with new data regarding the asteroid's speed and trajectory, often leading to a reassignment to a lower risk category.
Astronomers are urging Earth dwellers not to panic about asteroid 2024 YR, which has recently been rated as a top impact risk, but new data may change the odds.
The likelihood of asteroid 2024 YR ever striking the planet will drop to virtually zero once updated data on speed and trajectory is received in the coming weeks.
Currently rated at three on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, 2024 YR has a 2.3% chance of striking Earth in 2032, but fluctuating chances are common.
Historically, objects that have appeared on impact risk lists, like asteroid 2024 YR, often see their threat levels reduce dramatically with more observational data.
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