...you can kind of get a feel for how things will likely play out. Experience and repeated observation can give a person a sense of what the scientific statisticians like to call probability and outcome.
Conversely, if you have a team that has not been well-run and has brought in veterans who haven't panned out, who have run into bad injury luck or are simply getting too old to perform at previous levels, the probability is high that your year will end up in the tank.
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