""The decisive factor in this race may be the older voters who haven't yet made up their minds,""
""If the contest narrows to two leading candidates, the 50-plus electorate-by far the most reliable voting bloc-will likely determine who becomes the next mayor of New York City.""
If Curtis Sliwa exits the race, Zohran Mamdani would lead Andrew Cuomo 44.6% to 40.7%, within a four-point margin of error. With all three candidates remaining, Mamdani holds 43.2% of the vote, Cuomo 28.9%, and Sliwa 19.4%. Seventy-eight percent of undecided voters are age 50 or older, which could advantage Cuomo given older voters' reliability. The polling model relies on 2021 general election demographics with under 40% of voters under 50, though Mamdani's campaign reports adding tens of thousands of young voters that could create a 50-50 turnout split. Both Sliwa and Cuomo say they will not drop out. Gotham pollsters surveyed 1,040 likely voters over two days; top issues are cost of living (63.6%), public safety (48.6%), and housing affordability (38.9%).
Read at New York Post
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