Revisiting bayesian priors vis a vis goal sequencing and score effects
Briefly

The Washington Capitals completed the 2023-24 NHL season making the playoffs with a goal differential of minus-37, becoming the team with the worst such number in the salary cap era.
Peter Hassett pointed out that the Capitals had a unique trend of winning small and losing big, earning about ten more standings points than their goal differential would suggest, possibly due to timeliness of goals.
Read at RMNB
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