"Matthews is being pegged to finish below his career averages across multiple key statistical categories, including goals and total points. It seems oddsmakers are suggesting that Matthews will miss his former teammate and winger, all-star Mitch Marner, now with the Vegas Golden Knights. The Maple Leafs' star center is coming off an injury-plagued season where he scored only thirty-three goals, far below his franchise-best sixty-nine that he achieved during the 2023-2024 season."
"DraftKings has set the over/under for Matthews' goals during the 2025-2026 season at 45.5. It's the second-highest number behind Leon Draisaitl of the Edmonton Oilers at 47.5. The over/under for Matthews' points is 90.5. That number is tied for the ninth-highest league-wide with Mikko Rantanen of the Dallas Stars and Artemi Panarin of the New York Rangers. Players ahead of Matthews include Connor McDavid (118.5), Nathan MacKinnon (110.5), Nikita Kucherov (110.5), Draisaitl (106.5), David Pastrnak (100.5), Kirill Kaprizov (100.5), Marner (92.5), and Jack Eichel (91.5)."
DraftKings projects Auston Matthews for 45.5 goals and 90.5 points in the 2025–2026 season, placing him among the league's top scorers but below his career averages. The projections rank him behind elite peers such as Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl and tie him with other top forwards in projected points. The model appears to factor in the departure of Mitch Marner and recent injury issues. Matthews scored thirty-three goals in the most recent season after recording sixty-nine in 2023–2024. The soon-to-be 28-year-old has logged 70-plus games in five of nine NHL seasons, raising questions about consistency and health.
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