Many NFL teams face short- and long-term uncertainty at quarterback entering 2025. The assessment projects which teams might still have QB questions heading into the next offseason and which teams are positioned to address them. Contract guarantees and cap implications significantly influence whether teams will change quarterbacks; large guaranteed sums make changes unlikely. Examples include Trevor Lawrence and Dak Prescott, whose multi-million guaranteed money reduces likelihood of roster moves. The Ravens face a looming decision because Lamar Jackson's 2026 cap number jumps to $74.5 million, potentially prompting an extension or other cap maneuver. Teams with recent first-round quarterbacks are less likely to make changes.
Every year at this time, we like to take a look beyond the upcoming season and into the next offseason, projecting which teams might or might not still have QB questions. Then we predict what they might be in position to do about those questions. We try to lock in on ones with legit questions about how this season could shake out ... and we try to stay away from ones where the contract situation offers at least some certainty.
For example, this might feel like an important year for Trevor Lawrence in Jacksonville, until you realize he has $37 million fully guaranteed in 2026 and $29 million fully guaranteed in 2027. You can say this is a vital year for Dak Prescott in Dallas, but he has $40 million guaranteed for 2026, and restructures have pushed the dead money penalty for cutting him to impossible levels.
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