"Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- find value. Ben Solak is out this week, so Matt Bowen is filling in with his own unique style. Bowen and Seth Walder bring different perspectives on how they approach sports betting. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets."
"These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. With that, let's dive into Week 8. As always, odds are from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Note: Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available. Jump to:Game bets | Defensive props | Offensive props Game bets Tampa Bay Buccaneers-New Orleans Saints total points UNDER 46.5 (-115) The Saints are averaging just 16.9 points (29th in the league), and quarterback Spencer Rattler will see a Tampa Bay defense that changes the post-snap picture while registering top 10 blitz and pressure rates. I like Todd Bowles' unit in this matc"
Two complementary approaches guide the weekly betting slate: one relies on tape study and NFL matchup insight to identify favorable player and team edges, while the other uses statistical models to isolate plus-expected-value opportunities. Picks are not restricted to a single bet type and include spreads, money lines, totals and defensive player props. Results are tracked using flat one-unit wagers for each listed selection, with odds sourced from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Defensive prop bets will be added as they become available. Example Week 8 selection: Buccaneers-Saints UNDER 46.5 based on New Orleans' low scoring and Tampa Bay's heavy blitz/pressure defense.
Read at ESPN.com
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