"Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league."
"Let's bet on the Houston defensive front to disrupt the timing and rhythm of Daniel Jones. When pressured this season, Jones' off-target rate jumps to 25%. And we saw what this Texans pass rush did to Josh Allen in Week 12 (eight sacks). Plus, with the return of starting quarterback C.J. Stroud, Houston gets a boost on offense, too. The Texans cover, and I think they can win outright."
"With the Broncos coming off the bye week, I like Sean Payton's offense versus a Washington defensive unit that is giving up a league-worst 6.3 yards per play. This should be a heavily-schemed game plan for quarterback Bo Nix, with defined throws. I like the run game matchup for Denver, too. And let's not forget about the Broncos' pass rush, which has produced a league-leading 49 sacks this season. They will speed up Marcus Mariota's internal clock on Sunday night. Denver covers the spread."
Three analysts employ distinct methods to identify betting value: player evaluation and X's and O's, statistical models for expected value, and tape study with league experience. Weekly selections span spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive or offensive props. Results are tracked across the season using flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. Odds are sourced from ESPN BET Sportsbook and are subject to change. Defensive prop bets will be added when available. Week 13 notes include a bet on Houston's pass rush disrupting Daniel Jones and a belief Denver's scheme and pass rush will pressure Washington's offense.
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