
"Week 3 finally had the first major upset of the season with the Green Bay Packers blowing a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter against the Cleveland Browns. It was the first game all season where more than 10% of the field was knocked out. Still, 72% of all entrants remain, a far cry from last year when 95% of entrants had been eliminated by now."
"This week, the Buffalo Bills are the largest favorites so far as they host the winless New Orleans Saints, but they also have one of the easiest remaining schedules. The smaller the group, the better the pick the Bills are, as immediate win probability matters more, especially if you have not burned any of the other elite teams (or the Arizona Cardinals, who have a prime Week 5 matchup, just like the Bills)."
"It's a close call this week for the top choice, but I will side with saving the Bills for down the road and instead take the Houston Texans. There is more risk involved with taking the winless Texans, but they are the third-biggest moneyline favorites of the week and set you up for success down the road if they survive. If I had five Eliminator Challenge entries, I would go two Texans, two Bills and one Denver Broncos."
Week 3 produced the first major upset when the Green Bay Packers blew a 10-point fourth-quarter lead to the Cleveland Browns, eliminating more than 10% of entrants. Seventy-two percent of entrants remain, a marked improvement from last season's attrition. The Buffalo Bills are the largest favorites and have an easy remaining schedule, making them valuable later picks. The Houston Texans offer the highest immediate win probability, a low selection rate and one of the largest favorite margins, making them a strong current pick despite offensive inconsistency. A recommended allocation for five entries is two Texans, two Bills and one Denver Broncos.
Read at ESPN.com
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