"Week 2 features the single most lopsided matchup all season according to both ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay's model. The two models average out to give the Baltimore Ravens an 87% chance to defeat the Cleveland Browns. If you are in an extremely small group, picking the Ravens makes sense. However, in larger groups, pivoting elsewhere could be optimal as the Ravens will be among the top favorites many more times this season, meaning we will look elsewhere for our top pick."
"The Cardinals check virtually every box this week for an Eliminator pick. They are the second-biggest favorites this week according to ESPN Analytics and the third-biggest favorite based on the point spread. Mike Clay's model has this as the easiest game the rest of the season for the Cardinals, with only a home game against the Tennessee Titans in Week 5 standing out as another obvious chance to use them."
ESPN Eliminator Challenge requires picking one NFL team each week; a win or tie advances the player, a loss eliminates them, and the same team cannot be picked twice. Week 1 had few eliminations, with only the Los Angeles Chargers beating the Kansas City Chiefs as a field-goal underdog. Week 2 features the most lopsided matchup, with models giving the Baltimore Ravens an 87% chance to defeat the Cleveland Browns. In small pools selecting the Ravens makes sense; in larger groups choose underselected favorites to avoid shared picks. The Cardinals fit the criteria, have one of the easiest remaining games in Mike Clay's model, and were chosen by under 10% of participants.
Read at ESPN.com
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