"The betting total for Super Bowl LX is unusually low, and sportsbooks will still be rooting for the final result to be even lower. At 45.5, according to DraftKings odds as of Friday afternoon, Sunday's matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots is the ninth-lowest Super Bowl over/under in the past 40 seasons and the lowest since Super Bowl 50 between the Panthers and Broncos in 2016 (44), a 24-10 Denver win."
"Early action for this year's contest saw sharp bettors snap up the under across the sportsbook marketplace. At open, Caesars Sportsbook's head of football Joey Feazel said his book saw big money come in on the under at 46.5 and 46 before the number settled at 45.5, adding that, "45 is the key number there, don't see it going lower than that." He and other bookmakers are expecting a public surge on the over as the game approaches kickoff."
"John Ewing, media insights manager at BetMGM, expects the total will "continue to climb again as more casual bettors come in to place their wagers." Another reason sportsbooks are hoping for a low-scoring game is due to the cascade effect it would have on props. Anytime touchdown scorer is consistently the most-bet player prop, so a high-scoring contest would likely mean that many of those props could hit for bettors, chipping away at the sportsbook's profits on the game."
Super Bowl LX currently carries an over/under of 45.5, making it the ninth-lowest total in the past 40 seasons and the lowest since Super Bowl 50's 44. Early sharp money pushed the market toward the under, with books reporting heavy wagers at 46.5 and 46 before settling at 45.5. Bookmakers anticipate a late influx of casual bettors betting the over, which has already shown modest public support. Books prefer a lower-scoring game because many player props, particularly anytime touchdown scorer, profit from higher scoring contests and could reduce sportsbooks' overall hold.
Read at ESPN.com
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