"First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down three stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Then fantasy football writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in under 50% of ESPN fantasy football leagues as of Saturday and could be started in a jam. That's followed by NFL analyst Matt Bowen predicting three potentially big surprises and sports betting analyst Pamela Maldonado giving her favorite bet for Week 7."
"Can the 49ers stop the Falcons' outside zone running game? Who will win in the trenches between the Giants and Broncos? That's absolutely perfect for the Lions, who already attack linebackers plenty. This season, 34% of Detroit's targets have been directed at linebackers, the third-highest in the league per NFL Next Gen Stats. Running back Jahmyr Gibbs and tight end Sam LaPorta could have big receiving days."
"Will the Lions be able to exploit Buccaneers LB SirVocea Dennis in coverage? I very much expect they will on Monday night. Dennis has allowed 1.9 yards per coverage snap this season, which is the worst among all linebackers with at least 100 coverage snaps. Sometimes coverage metrics can be fluky or misleading, but after watching every target against Dennis, that is not the case here. Dennis has struggled in coverage, and those plays are riddled with missed tackles in space, too."
Three analytical stat trends could influence Week 7 outcomes. Buccaneers LB SirVocea Dennis has allowed 1.9 yards per coverage snap this season, the worst among linebackers with at least 100 coverage snaps, and has struggled with missed tackles in space. Detroit directs 34% of targets at linebackers, the third-highest league rate, creating receiving upside for Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta. Key matchups include the Broncos' offensive line versus the Giants' pass rush and the 49ers' ability to stop outside-zone runs. Fantasy players rostered under 50% may be viable emergency starts. Quinshon Judkins' rushing potential versus Miami and the Colts-Chargers total are also focal points, with one favored Week 7 betting pick identified.
Read at ESPN.com
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