"Morning Sports Update Experts foresee an improvement, but maybe not quite enough for a playoff spot. Some Patriots predictions: The 2025 NFL season has arrived, with the first game (Cowboys at Eagles) set to kick off on Thursday evening at 8:20 p.m. The Patriots get underway on Sunday against the Raiders (1 p.m.) at Gillette Stadium. With a new head coach and a large amount of roster turnover, it will be a new beginning for New England."
"Cynthia Frelund: Using historical data, interviews with experts, and "simulations [that] included 1,000,000 runs of every single regular-season game," Frelund (an NFL Network analytics expert) predicted the fractional win totals of each team. For the Patriots, she reached the final verdict of 8.8 wins. Like NFL.com, ESPN released its analytics-based predictions for each NFL team: Chances to make the playoffs: 30.5% Chances to win division: 13.1% Projected wins: 7.9"
The 2025 NFL season opens Thursday, and the Patriots begin Sunday at Gillette Stadium against the Raiders. A new head coach and significant roster turnover mark a fresh start for New England after consecutive 4-13 seasons. Beat writers and national analysts mostly project improvement, with many picks clustered at 8-9 wins and several at 9-8 or 7-10. Analytics models produced fractional and probabilistic forecasts: Cynthia Frelund projected 8.8 wins, while ESPN gives the Patriots 7.9 projected wins, a 30.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 13.1% chance to win the division.
Read at Boston.com
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