Statistical analysis reveals that 96% of players who scored 14 or more touchdowns in a season typically score fewer in the subsequent season. In a decade of data, 117 out of 130 players registered fewer touchdowns the year after their high scoring season. Recent projections observed a success rate of identifying touchdown regressors, with a notable pattern indicating that scoring primarily relies on opportunity rather than just talent. Over a 12-year span, players with 10 or more touchdowns saw an average decrease of 4.9 touchdowns the following season.
Over the past decade, 96% of players who scored 14 or more touchdowns scored fewer the season after. Of the 130 players analyzed, 117 scored fewer touchdowns the following season.
Last season, the projections identified 14 of 17 players who experienced touchdown regression correctly. Players simply cannot sustain extremely high scoring rates; scoring is more about opportunity.
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