"Maldonado: Los Angeles leads the league in third-down conversion rate and yards-per-play differential, and this is a matchup where both should show. Pittsburgh's defense still leans on turnovers to mask inefficiency, but when the Steelers don't get one, they are bottom five in the league in points per drive allowed. The Chargers, meanwhile, have a plus-88-yard margin per game on their opponents, and with Justin Herbert's passing volume and red zone precision, they should sustain drives, even with a shaky run game."
"Loza: Herbert has thrown at least one pick in six of nine games this season. He has registered four INTs over his past three outings. Injuries to the offensive line and a questionable game script have forced Herbert to make riskier or more aggressive downfield throws that have led to takeaways. Meanwhile, the Steelers are coming off a dominant effort versus the Indianapolis Colts, picking off three of Daniel Jones' passes (Jones had just three INTs heading into Week 9) during the seven-point upset."
The Chargers enter Sunday Night Football having won two straight games, including a road win over the Tennessee Titans, and are 3.5-point favorites. Pittsburgh snapped a two-game skid with a win over the Indianapolis Colts. FPI projects Los Angeles by 4.8 points with a 62.9% win probability. Los Angeles leads the league in third-down conversion rate and yards-per-play differential and holds a plus-88-yard margin per game. Justin Herbert's passing volume and red zone precision should sustain drives despite a shaky run game. Pittsburgh's defense relies heavily on turnovers and ranks among the bottom five in points per drive allowed when it does not force one. Herbert has thrown at least one interception in six of nine games and registered four INTs over his past three outings, a trend linked to offensive-line injuries and riskier downfield throws.
Read at ESPN.com
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