NBA talent evaluators often identify 20-25 players worth drafting, but opinions vary on who falls into that category. This article argues for a broader perspective on player evaluations, suggesting that players outside of the traditional first-round rankings can achieve success. The author emphasizes a probabilistic view of player success, explaining that hard work, coaching, and opportunities are critical for developing talent. The case of Alex Caruso, who went undrafted yet became a successful NBA player, illustrates that great potential can emerge from unexpected places.
Success is somewhat less probable for players outside the first-round grade list. But with hard work, coaching, and opportunity, they can still become good prospects.
Alex Caruso was undrafted, graded late second to undrafted, yet he has enjoyed eight successful seasons in the NBA, highlighting unexpected talent.
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