In preparation for the NCAA Men's basketball tournament, The Athletic offers a detailed projection bracket combining offensive and defensive metrics for each college basketball team. These projections assess likely scoring outcomes against average opponents in neutral settings, factoring in aspects like opponent strength, location, and team health. Additionally, the simulations run 200,000 times provide insights into each team's potential to advance through the tournament's various rounds, including the likelihood of winning the championship, thus creating a comprehensive forecast for fans and analysts.
We use various box score metrics to create offensive and defensive projections for every college basketball team, estimating their performance against an average opponent.
By simulating the tournament 200,000 times, we arrive at probabilities for each team’s chances of advancing through the bracket and winning the championship.
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