"During the Raptors' 13-1 stretch from Oct. 31 to Nov. 26, opponents shot 30.5 percent from deep, the lowest such rate in the league over that time. Opponents were putrid from above the break and the corners. And that is despite opponents taking the fourth-most open triples over that stretch and shooting ... 25.6 percent on such shots. So Toronto enjoyed some extent of shooting luck during the salad days. It's impossible to know how much of it is luck and how much forcing the right shots to the right (read: bad) shooters, or forcing shots to out-of-rhythm shooters, or otherwise playing effective defence even if tracking cameras record the shots as 'open.'"
"Darko Rajakovic, for his part, said teams can control opponent 3-point percentage to some extent, while they can't change frequency of 3-point attempts. That is the exact opposite of conventional wisdom among analytics aficionados these days, which is that teams can control opposing 3-point frequency, to some extent, though not accuracy. I'm not qualified to say which is correct either way, but it's worthwhile to note the difference."
Toronto produced a 13-1 run from Oct. 31 to Nov. 26 during which opponents shot 30.5 percent from three, the lowest rate in the league. Opponents struggled above the break and in the corners despite taking the fourth-most open triples and converting just 25.6 percent of those open looks. The low opponent accuracy likely reflected a mix of luck, forcing poor or out-of-rhythm shooters, and effective defense even when tracking data labeled shots as 'open.' Coach Darko Rajakovic asserted teams can influence opponent 3-point percentage but not attempt frequency. Regression in opponent shooting subsequently occurred against the Knicks.
Read at Raptors Republic
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