Istanbul is situated on the North Anatolian Fault, posing a substantial earthquake threat. Experts predict a 40 to 60 percent chance of a major quake within the next 30 years. Approximately 40,000 historical sites require protection, alongside numerous residential buildings in danger. In the event of a significant earthquake, up to 700,000 fatalities could occur. Structural fortifications are hindered by political divides, and while some measures have been initiated, comprehensive protection is costly. Planning and preemptive action are crucial to enhance outcomes in the face of inevitable earthquakes.
"Devastating earthquakes have happened in this region before, and they will happen again. The question is when, not if," said Wendy Bohon, a geologist. "We can't stop earthquakes from happening, but we can dramatically improve the outcome of these earthquakes through planning and mitigation."
Pressure continues to build along the North Anatolian Fault, putting Istanbul at risk. Istanbul has a 40 to 60 percent chance of a major earthquake in the next 30 years.
Up to 700,000 people could die if a major earthquake strikes the city, according to the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality.
The clock is ticking, and the time to act is now. Preserving and reinforcing historical sites has been impeded by political divides between the local and central government.
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