The irony of touting an apparent lead in betting markets at a Believers and Ballots campaign event in Georgia aimed at Christian voters was not lost on Trump. But nobody here gambles, he continued. Does anybody here gamble? No, no, no, no. Great Christians don't gamble, do they? Oh no.
Trump and his allies claim some gambling polls, as he described them last week, put him significantly ahead of Harris. With many questioning the accuracy of political polling, supporters including Elon Musk, have started to claim such estimates are more accurate.
As of Wednesday, Polymarket, one leading service, put Trump's chances of winning back the presidency at about 67%, with Harris at 33%. Another, Kalshi, put Trump at 62% and Harris at 38%.
Interest around betting on this election is orders of magnitude larger than previous ballots, according to Thomas Gruca, a professor of marketing at the University of Iowa, and director of Iowa Electronic Markets.
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