The article discusses the changing trends of the Atlantic hurricane season, which traditionally runs from June 1 to November 30. Due to climate change and elevated sea surface temperatures, storms are increasingly forming before the start of the season. The National Hurricane Center has adjusted their forecasting timeline to include updates starting May 15. With the ocean absorbing excess heat, the potential for early tropical storm formation rises, leading to concerns about stronger storms and more frequent early activity in the years to come.
With forecast models already pointing to storm development in the western Caribbean and unusually high sea surface temperatures, the question is not if, but when early storms will appear.
This uptick in early formation prompted the National Hurricane Center to begin issuing regular tropical weather forecasts on May 15, two weeks before the traditional start.
A warmer atmosphere can also hold more moisture, which increases the amount of fuel a storm can use, suggesting storms will continue to form earlier.
In fact, early season activity is becoming more frequent; seven of the last ten hurricane seasons had at least one named storm before June 1.
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