According to experts, the next two weeks are a toss-up, with a 50% chance of above-normal activity in the Atlantic basin and a 40% chance of near-normal activity.
Normal for the second half of October is typically less active than late August through early October, with cooler water reducing storm fuel.
CSU’s previous forecast accurately predicted above-normal activity from Oct. 1 to Oct. 14, underscoring the continuing threat in hurricane season.
Meteorologists assess the upcoming ACE by examining current storms, the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook, and various global models to make predictions.
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