Duolingo Drops By A Third as It Trades $50M in Bookings for 100M Users
Briefly

Duolingo Drops By A Third as It Trades $50M in Bookings for 100M Users
"In 2026, we are deliberately prioritizing user growth and teaching better. We'll focus on improving the free learner experience to grow word of mouth and feed our next user growth engines like chess, math and music, even though that moderates near-term financial growth."
"The financial trade-off here is notable as Q1 bookings are projected at $301.5 million, below the $329.7 million consensus estimate, and full-year bookings guidance of $1.27 to $1.30 billion trails the $1.39 billion estimate. Investors also can't ignore that the adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to compress to roughly 25% from 29.5% in 2025."
"Reddit sentiment collapsed from a neutral 54.6 over the past month to a bearish 25.2 this week. The comments split cleanly between investors who see the pivot as disciplined capital allocation and those who view it as management trading revenue quality for user count optics."
Duolingo experienced a significant market reaction after reporting Q4 2025 revenue of $282.9 million, up 35% year-over-year and exceeding estimates. However, CEO Luis von Ahn announced a strategic pivot prioritizing user growth and product improvement over financial growth in 2026. The company aims to reach 100 million daily active users by 2028, up from 50 million currently, by enhancing the free learner experience and developing new features like chess, math, and music. This strategy comes with financial trade-offs: Q1 bookings guidance of $301.5 million falls below consensus estimates of $329.7 million, full-year bookings guidance of $1.27-$1.30 billion trails the $1.39 billion estimate, and adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to compress to approximately 25% from 29.5% in 2025. The stock declined 33% year-to-date, with Reddit sentiment shifting from neutral to bearish.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
Unable to calculate read time
[
|
]