"United fought back to beat the 10 men of Crystal Palace 2-1 on Sunday, leapfrogging Aston Villa to go third in the table and taking charge of the race for Champions League football. Newcastle would have hoped to be in that same mix at the start of the campaign, but instead, they are a lowly 13th following Saturday's 3-2 defeat at home to Everton."
"The Opta supercomputer is backing Newcastle, despite the differing form of these two teams. Newcastle's win probability is rated at 43.5%, while Man Utd came out as victors in 29.7% of the pre-match simulations. The likelihood of a draw is 26.8%."
"Newcastle have won their last three home Premier League matches against Man Utd, as many victories as they managed in their previous 18. The Magpies last had a longer home league winning run against the Red Devils between 1915 and 1931 (10 in a row)."
Manchester United travel to Newcastle on Wednesday with interim boss Michael Carrick seeking to maintain his impressive run since returning to the dugout. United recently beat Crystal Palace 2-1 to move third in the Premier League, while Newcastle sit 13th following a 3-2 home defeat to Everton. Newcastle are closer to the relegation zone than the top five, putting pressure on manager Eddie Howe. Despite United's superior current form, Opta's supercomputer favors Newcastle with a 43.5% win probability compared to United's 29.7%, citing Newcastle's excellent recent home record against United. Newcastle have won their last three home league matches against United and seek a Premier League double over them for the first time since 2020-21.
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