"United have lost four of their last five league games against West Ham (W1), more than they had in the 28 beforehand (W19 D6 L3). And West Ham won this exact fixture 2-0 in May, ending a 16-game winless streak away to the Red Devils in the top-flight (D3 L13). They have not won consecutive league visits to Old Trafford since March 1934, however. The Hammers did the league double over United in 2024-25 and are looking to win three in a row against them for the first time since December 2006 and December 2007."
"Despite all of that, the Opta supercomputer believes United's home advantage will work in their favour, with Amorim's side winning 59.4% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations. West Ham do get that third consecutive win against United in 19.4% of those, with a further 21.2% chance of leaving Manchester with a point. United hoping for home comforts United's 1-0 loss to 10-man Everton is the only blip on their recent record, with Amorim overseeing four wins and two draws besides that since the start of October."
Manchester United returned to winning ways and have lost only one of their last seven matches, keeping them in the congested mid-table. West Ham have been a bogey team for United over the last couple of years and carry recent head-to-head superiority. West Ham's unbeaten streak ended with a loss to Liverpool and they have struggled away from home. Opta simulations favour United at Old Trafford, but also give West Ham chances to win or draw. United's only recent blip was a 1-0 loss to 10-man Everton; Amorim has overseen four wins and two draws since October.
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