
"Less than one year ago, there were rumors that the Toronto Blue Jays were emerging as the favorites to sign Alex Bregman in free agency. Of course, like most of the team's big-fish pursuits in recent years, that didn't come to fruition, as the star third baseman signed with the Boston Red Sox. However, he has now opted out of that deal, launching right back into free agency, and this time without the qualifying offer attached."
"In The Athletic's Top 50 free agent predictions, Bichette is projected for a seven-year, $182 million pact on the open market. Bregman, who is four years his senior, is projected for a six-year, $182 million deal. Those are wildly similar contracts, with Bregman's age likely keeping him from getting a seventh year (though his superior defense will arguably award him a higher AAV)."
"Bregman, a two-time World Series champion, hit .273/.360/.462 with 18 home runs in 114 games in 2025, good for 3.5 fWAR and a 125 wRC+. Meanwhile, Bichette hit .311/.357/.483 with 18 home runs, adding up to 3.8 fWAR and a 134 wRC+. Like their contract projections, their production was remarkably similar, especially if you focus on Bregman's elite first half prior to his quad injury (152 wRC+)."
Alex Bregman has opted out of his Red Sox contract and re-entered free agency without a qualifying offer. The Toronto Blue Jays face potential loss of shortstop Bo Bichette, who projects to command a seven-year, $182 million deal, while Bregman projects around six years and $182 million. Their recent offensive production and defensive value are similar, with Bregman at 3.5 fWAR and a 125 wRC+ and Bichette at 3.8 fWAR and a 134 wRC+. Bregman's elite first half before injury and solid defensive metrics make him a feasible replacement for Bichette in Toronto.
Read at Jays Journal
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