"This is the third winter I’m projecting MLB free-agent contracts for The Athletic... players get paid off home runs and saves in arbitration, I've found fWAR to be a solid predictor of earnings on the open market."
"I plug impending free agents into the spreadsheet, find players with similar levels of production before they signed their deals, and work off of those comps... I concentrate heavily on the most recent season and the combined production over the last three for starting pitchers and position players."
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