Poll shows Bass, Raman and Pratt locked in tight race ahead of Tuesday's mayoral primary

Bass leads likely voters with 26% support, followed by Raman at 25% and Pratt at 22% in a poll of likely voters. The lead is statistically insignificant, indicating a close race among the three candidates. The poll suggests any of the three could advance to the next stage rather than Bass being the clear frontrunner. In a hypothetical runoff between Bass and Raman, Raman leads among registered voters, but many likely voters either would choose neither or would not vote, and a sizable share remains undecided. Undecided voters dropped to 10% from 26% in a prior survey, while Pratt and Raman gained and Bass support nearly flatlined.

"Bass had 26% support from likely voters, followed by City Councilmember Raman with 25% support, according to the poll by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, which was co-sponsored by The Times. Pratt, the former reality TV personality making his first bid for elected office, had support from 22% of the likely voters surveyed. Up until this latest poll, Bass had enjoyed a substantial lead over her challengers, with analysts predicting she would garner enough votes to make a Nov. 3 runoff with either Raman or Pratt. The latest survey suggests any of the three could advance."

""You've got three very different candidates, each with very different constituencies, all within the margin of error. It's going to boil down to turnout," said Mark DiCamillo, the director of Berkeley IGS polls. The poll also showed that in a head-to-head runoff between Bass and Raman, the councilmember would lead, 32% to 28%, among the city's registered voters, but in this scenario, a quarter of likely voters say they would choose neither or would not vote, and 15% were undecided."

"The survey of 1,913 registered voters - 1,351 of whom are considered likely voters - is the largest sample of any public poll released in advance of the election. It was conducted between May 19 and 24. The poll has a margin of error of around 3% in either direction. Just 10% of voters were still undecided, the poll found, down from 26% when the last survey by Berkeley IGS was conducted March 9-15."

"Since then, Pratt and Raman have made steady gains while support for Bass has nearly flatlined. The March poll had Bass with support from 25% of likely voters, followed by Raman with 17% and Pratt wi"

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