If you want to know where both sides think the 2024 election is going to be won or lost, look at where they're aiming their campaign planes and, perhaps more importantly, their checkbooks... the national election of a President is a series of state-by-state contests.
Despite an advertising blitz favoring Vice President Kamala Harris, former President Donald Trump has a narrow polling advantage in five of the seven swing states, with an average lead of 1.4 points according to RealClearPolitics.
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