Since President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 race and Vice President Kamala Harris' launch of her presidential campaign, Harris has closed the gap or exceeded Trump's lead in several swing states like Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.
Bloomberg's poll indicates that Harris could be on a path to reassemble the voter coalition that supported Barack Obama, presenting a clearer route to victory compared to Biden, who struggled to energize the Democratic base. However, the race is still closely contested as Harris' lead falls within the margin of error.
Despite Harris' current favorable standing in polls, there is a cautionary note from Bloomberg on the potential for her support to decline, citing the possibility of a honeymoon phase typical for new candidates.
In contrast, an Axios poll shows Harris with a substantial lead over Trump among young voters aged 18-34, boosting her favorability rating. Despite this, Nate Silver's election model forecasts a Trump victory over Harris in the upcoming election.
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