The contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is tied, with Harris at 48% to Trump's 46% among likely voters, reflecting a divided nation.
Wagner states that Harris' capture of much of the Democratic base has shifted the race to a dead heat, indicating strong partisan identity driving choices in the election.
Independent likely voters are split, 45% for Harris and 43% for Trump, emphasizing the importance of voter turnout and partisan affiliations in determining the outcome.
A notable gender gap is observed, with women favoring Harris at 50% to Trump's 43%, while men lean towards Trump at 49% compared to Harris's 45%.
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