Throughout the 2024 cycle, analysts have been justifiably pessimistic about Democrats holding the Senate, where they currently have a slim 51-49 majority, factoring in independents who caucus with them.
But the party has made an odd strategic decision not to make serious investments in the only two meaningful Democratic pickup opportunities, against Republican incumbents Ted Cruz in Texas and Rick Scott in Florida.
Democrats are guaranteed to lose their seat in West Virginia, where retiring independent Joe Manchin will be replaced by popular Gov. Jim Justice.
The Democratic nominee, Wheeling Mayor Glenn Elliott, trailed Justice by 33 and 34 points in the only two post-primary public polls of the contest.
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