"On Tuesday, Kaufman posted a Twitter thread declaring that "trans identification is in free fall among the young." The graph he used to prove it, however, was fundamentally flawed-it showed students who identified as "neither male nor female," a category that excludes most transgender men and women. In other words, Kaufmann's supposed evidence of a collapse in "trans identification" was actually a selective chart of nonbinary students, not transgender people as a whole."
"Within hours, conservative leaders like Elon Musk and Matt Walsh were celebrating the supposed downturn as proof their anti-trans rhetoric was working. But as the data has now been reviewed by independent researchers, it turns out Kaufmann's conclusion is based on a massive statistical error. When corrected, the numbers show the opposite of what he claimed: transgender and nonbinary identification in America has risen over the last two years as more people come out than ever before."
A widely shared analysis claimed that transgender identification among young people was plunging. The chart cited actually tracked students identifying as "neither male nor female," a category that omits most transgender men and women, and thus did not represent overall transgender identification. Conservative figures amplified the misinterpretation, celebrating a supposed victory. Independent researchers reviewed the underlying dataset from a campus-survey source and identified fundamental methodological and statistical errors. After correcting those errors, the corrected counts and trends show that transgender and nonbinary identification in the United States rose over the past two years.
Read at Advocate.com
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