Sinn Fein's recent political success in Northern Ireland does not translate to widespread support for Irish unification, as its ratings in the Irish republic have dropped significantly, negatively impacting its chances of leading the next Dublin government.
Despite demographic changes and Brexit-induced antipathy towards London, the combined vote share for Sinn Fein and other nationalist parties has remained stagnant at around 40% since 1998, while pro-union parties maintain a slightly higher percentage.
The potential for a referendum on Irish unification, as per the Good Friday agreement, remains slim, as the Scottish National Party's loss of momentum annuls hopes for Scotland to catalyze the breakup of the UK, and Keir Starmer's Labour government is firmly pro-union with no intention of entertaining such a referendum in the foreseeable future.
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