"Calculations made by Andromeda showed the 4kg of explosives recovered by Serbia's military security agency could not have seriously ruptured the pipe. Four kilograms is not sufficient to put the gas pipeline to a standstill."
"Even if optimally placed, 4kg of plastic explosive would likely result only in localized damage or limited penetration, which could be repaired within a few days without causing long-term disruption of supply."
"This does not align with the objective of a classical act of sabotage, which aims to disable infrastructure for weeks or months, supporting the conclusion that the incident was likely a provocation."
Serbia discovered 4kg of explosives, insufficient to damage the Balkan Stream gas pipeline. Experts concluded it was likely a Russian intelligence plot to influence Hungary's election. Analysis showed that the amount recovered could only cause localized damage, not a significant disruption. Hungarian officials speculated about Ukraine's involvement, framing it as an attack on sovereignty. The incident gained media attention just before Hungary's election, where pro-Russian Prime Minister Viktor Orban was trailing in polls.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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