"El Salvador's green coffee production is forecast to fall to 542,000 60-kilogram bags in market year 2026/27, a 7.5% drop tied mainly to El Niño weather amid broader structural challenges, according to the latest USDA Foreign Agricultural Service annual report."
"El Salvador's coffee area is forecast to hold steady at 118,000 harvested hectares. Yet FAS said climate vulnerability, limited credit and low profitability continue to stall renovation, with some farmers shifting to cocoa and white corn or selling land for development."
"Production for 2025/26 is estimated at 586,000 bags after torrential rains in December 2025 caused ripe coffee cherries to drop, reducing yields and quality during milling. The 2026/27 forecast points to a further 44,000-bag drop, largely due to expected weather problems during flowering and harvest."
"Labor shortages remain a structural constraint as rural workers move toward urban construction jobs. The report said shortages are limiting pruning, weeding, fertilization, pest control and harvest work. The Salvadoran Coffee Institute (SCI) has increased pest monitoring and added coffee quality-control labs."
El Salvador’s coffee production is forecast to fall to 542,000 60-kilogram bags in market year 2026/27, a 7.5% decrease. The harvested area is expected to remain steady at 118,000 hectares, but climate vulnerability, limited credit, and low profitability are reducing renovation efforts. Some farmers are shifting to cocoa and white corn or selling land for development. Production for 2025/26 is estimated at 586,000 bags after torrential rains in December 2025 caused ripe cherries to drop, lowering yields and quality. The 2026/27 decline is linked to expected weather problems during flowering and harvest. Labor shortages also limit pruning, weeding, fertilization, pest control, and harvest work. Exports are forecast to rise slightly, with green coffee making up most exports.
#coffee-production #el-nino-climate-risk #agricultural-labor-shortages #farm-renovation-and-profitability #coffee-exports
Read at Daily Coffee News by Roast Magazine
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