"Ever since Donald J. Trump's stunning victory in 2016, many who follow politics have believed Republicans hold an intractable advantage in the Electoral College. However, evidence suggests this advantage is not as strong as presumed."
"According to The New York Times's polling average, Kamala Harris may not need a significant lead in the popular vote to prevail, as current polls show a slight edge over Trump in essential states."
"The simplest way to measure the advantage in the Electoral College is to take the difference between the national popular vote and the vote in the tipping-point state. Mr. Trump's advantage appears to be shrinking."
"Currently, Vice President Harris leads the national vote by 2.6 percentage points and the tipping-point state of Wisconsin by 1.8 points, indicating a smaller Electoral College edge for Trump compared to prior elections."
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