For Epidemics to Cross Oceans, Viruses on Ships Had to Beat the Odds
Briefly

A new report in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences demonstrates how viruses faced significant challenges in crossing seas, mostly extinguishing on ships before reaching land, a contrast to today's instant global spread of diseases like Covid-19.
Sophisticated mathematical modeling by Elizabeth Blackmore and James O. Lloyd-Smith quantified the changing likelihoods of viral transmission, a unique approach complementing historical analysis in understanding disease spread.
Read at www.nytimes.com
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