"Things are going to get worse before they get better," said Michael Payne, a researcher and outreach coordinator at the Western Institute for Food Safety and Security at UC Davis.
"So far, there has been little industrywide impact of the disease on share of cattle affected in California, so little impact on marketable dairy production," said Daniel Sumner, an agricultural economist at UC Davis.
State and federal health authorities insist that H5N1 poses little threat to humans and that it is safe to drink milk that has been pasteurized, because the process kills the virus.
However, dairy farmers and veterinarians are reporting far greater rates of mortality among infected herds than anticipated and steep drops in the rate of milk production among recovered cows.
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