Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered on December 27, 2024, is a small, fast-moving celestial object measuring approximately 50 meters across and weighing about 200,000 tons. Following its recent close approach to Earth on December 25, observations have allowed scientists to track its orbital path, revealing it takes about four years to complete an orbit around the Sun. While the asteroid will miss Earth by a margin of 160,000 kilometers in 2032, the probability of an impact has gradually increased to 3.1%. Despite these rising odds, the overall risk remains low, and the likelihood of an impending collision is expected to decline significantly with time.
The asteroid 2024 YR4, recently discovered, demonstrates increasing impact probability but remains at a low risk, with uncertainty surrounding future encounters with Earth.
As 2024 YR4 approaches Earth, its impact probability has risen to 3.1%, showing how predictions can evolve as more data becomes available, but we shouldn't panic.
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